Unemployment = Foreclosures

The erosion of the labor market (the unemployment rate recently hit 9.5 percent) is the key factor in the rise of home foreclosures, says Celia Chen, an economist at Moody's Economy.com.
"Employers continue to shed jobs, and that makes it difficult for even people with good credit who were doing fine to keep up with their mortgage payment," Chen says. For example, a recent report issued by federal bank regulators found that home loans to borrowers with solid credit histories were going bad at a rapid clip. "Prime loans, which represented two thirds
of all mortgages in the portfolio, experienced the highest percentage increase in serious delinquencies, climbing by more than 20 percent from the prior quarter to 2.9 percent of prime mortgages," the report stated.

Plunging home values: Nearly three years after its peak, the painful decline in home prices continues. Although the pace of decline moderated slightly from the previous month, home prices in 20 major metro areas dropped 18.1 percent in April from a year earlier. Falling home values have dragged more than 20 percent of American homeowners "underwater"--meaning they owe more on their mortgages than the property is worth--as of the first quarter. By
sucking equity out of homes, the price declines have also evaporated much of a homeowner's financial incentive for paying their mortgage bill, Chen says. "When somebody doesn't have equity in their house and they are struggling to pay their mortgage, the likelihood of a foreclosure is much higher," she says. In addition, home owners with less
equity in their homes will have a more difficult time refinancing their mortgage.